Red Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 253 (46 on the archive and 207 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 109
Defender wins (Russian): 143
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1040 | 995 | 56% | 2024-04-01 | Lost |
865 | 876 | 48% | 2024-02-24 | Lost |
1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2024-01-08 | Won |
1019 | 1152 | 32% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
1118 | 1152 | 45% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
1007 | 1021 | 48% | 2021-01-17 | Lost |
929 | 1159 | 21% | 2020-12-25 | Lost |
1159 | 929 | 79% | 2020-12-20 | Won |
954 | 1055 | 36% | 2019-05-05 | Won |
1163 | 1204 | 44% | 2018-02-09 | Won |
1003 | 1133 | 32% | 2018-01-27 | Lost |
1013 | 955 | 58% | 2018-01-27 | Won |
893 | 1109 | 22% | 2017-06-08 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2016-12-15 | Lost |
1160 | 966 | 75% | 2016-06-18 | Won |
997 | 997 | 50% | 2016-02-01 | Won |
1051 | 989 | 59% | 2015-07-08 | Lost |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2015-04-25 | Won |
1000 | 963 | 55% | 2015-01-13 | Lost |
1175 | 1109 | 59% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
1063 | 1033 | 54% | 2013-12-22 | Won |
1033 | 984 | 57% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
984 | 1033 | 43% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
1018 | 1109 | 37% | 2013-10-18 | Won |
900 | 1055 | 29% | 2013-02-07 | Won |
901 | 952 | 43% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
901 | 1012 | 35% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
901 | 1012 | 35% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
901 | 952 | 43% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
1204 | 924 | 83% | 2012-06-15 | Lost |
944 | 1115 | 27% | 2012-04-29 | Lost |
1204 | 973 | 79% | 2012-03-07 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2012-02-27 | Lost |
1068 | 917 | 70% | 2012-01-01 | Lost |
977 | 891 | 62% | 2011-05-17 | Lost |
952 | 952 | 50% | 2010-09-25 | Won |
963 | 1040 | 39% | 2010-08-31 | Lost |
1115 | 1034 | 61% | 2009-06-22 | Lost |
1037 | 1027 | 51% | 2009-01-02 | Tied |
964 | 1010 | 43% | 2008-07-30 | Won |
902 | 1115 | 23% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-08-14 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2004-11-28 | Won |
1204 | 925 | 83% | 2004-09-16 | Lost |
1063 | 868 | 75% | 1999-10-01 | Lost |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 1992-02-26 | Lost |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1017.4 vs 1014.5 has a 50.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).