Dash for the Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 116 (29 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 41
Defender wins (German (SS)): 75
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2023-12-06 | Lost |
1152 | 1118 | 55% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
1152 | 1019 | 68% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
920 | 929 | 49% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
1057 | 1159 | 36% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
1023 | 1013 | 51% | 2017-12-20 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
1284 | 966 | 86% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
992 | 967 | 54% | 2015-04-11 | Lost |
981 | 1227 | 20% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
1238 | 1227 | 52% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
1000 | 963 | 55% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
1153 | 1109 | 56% | 2014-10-27 | Lost |
1109 | 989 | 67% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
950 | 973 | 47% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
952 | 1052 | 36% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
1115 | 944 | 73% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
1095 | 1094 | 50% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
836 | 977 | 31% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
1227 | 1092 | 69% | 2010-07-11 | Won |
961 | 991 | 46% | 2009-08-07 | Lost |
1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
969 | 831 | 69% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2004-11-28 | Lost |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
1083 | 1077 | 51% | 2000-09-01 | Won |
1045 | 990 | 58% | 1992-03-04 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1029.9 has a 53.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).