The Fugitives
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 241 (30 on the archive and 211 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 97
Defender wins (Russian): 143
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1164 | 982 | 74% | 2024-02-24 | Won |
898 | 898 | 50% | 2024-02-17 | Won |
1013 | 1040 | 46% | 2021-08-12 | Lost |
1159 | 924 | 79% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
924 | 1159 | 21% | 2021-05-20 | Lost |
1034 | 1019 | 52% | 2020-11-11 | Lost |
1013 | 1020 | 49% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
1009 | 977 | 55% | 2018-07-17 | Lost |
892 | 1010 | 34% | 2017-10-15 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2017-10-02 | Lost |
966 | 1109 | 31% | 2016-11-16 | Lost |
1183 | 1087 | 63% | 2014-07-02 | Won |
1112 | 887 | 79% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
1181 | 861 | 86% | 2013-10-26 | Won |
1184 | 1109 | 61% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
973 | 1204 | 21% | 2013-08-14 | Won |
900 | 1055 | 29% | 2013-02-15 | Lost |
924 | 911 | 52% | 2012-12-10 | Lost |
1052 | 952 | 64% | 2012-11-20 | Won |
944 | 1115 | 27% | 2012-08-20 | Lost |
989 | 917 | 60% | 2011-10-02 | Won |
994 | 1044 | 43% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
1095 | 1029 | 59% | 2006-11-07 | Won |
943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-10-12 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2004-12-05 | Won |
1204 | 925 | 83% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
1062 | 1065 | 50% | 1998-08-01 | Lost |
892 | 1063 | 27% | 1998-05-03 | Lost |
1175 | 1142 | 55% | 1996-08-13 | Lost |
1027 | 990 | 55% | 1992-04-11 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1030 vs 1017.7 has a 51.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).