Le Manoir
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 313 (52 on the archive and 261 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 212
Defender wins (German): 100
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1024 | 1008 | 52% | 2023-11-18 | Lost |
980 | 980 | 50% | 2022-04-05 | Won |
949 | 949 | 50% | 2020-07-15 | Won |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2019-10-17 | Lost |
1030 | 1046 | 48% | 2019-02-10 | Won |
1026 | 979 | 57% | 2016-07-26 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-11-04 | Won |
989 | 1087 | 36% | 2015-11-01 | Won |
1087 | 989 | 64% | 2015-10-25 | Won |
1113 | 1204 | 37% | 2015-10-24 | Won |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2015-09-18 | Lost |
1018 | 1013 | 51% | 2015-09-15 | Won |
1204 | 919 | 84% | 2015-08-28 | Won |
1013 | 858 | 71% | 2015-05-30 | Won |
978 | 1000 | 47% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
1204 | 1036 | 72% | 2014-11-10 | Won |
988 | 992 | 49% | 2014-08-16 | Won |
847 | 972 | 33% | 2014-05-16 | Won |
1160 | 1109 | 57% | 2014-04-05 | Won |
1160 | 955 | 76% | 2014-03-20 | Won |
849 | 1109 | 18% | 2013-12-05 | Won |
1055 | 1056 | 50% | 2013-09-03 | Lost |
955 | 1021 | 41% | 2013-08-25 | Won |
1047 | 1115 | 40% | 2013-05-06 | Won |
861 | 952 | 37% | 2013-04-21 | Won |
911 | 924 | 48% | 2012-05-05 | Lost |
1094 | 1097 | 50% | 2012-03-14 | Won |
1204 | 1040 | 72% | 2012-02-07 | Won |
1133 | 1095 | 55% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
1038 | 1307 | 18% | 2011-02-12 | Lost |
1181 | 1037 | 70% | 2011-01-08 | Won |
1000 | 1087 | 38% | 2010-01-15 | Won |
849 | 881 | 45% | 2009-06-23 | Won |
940 | 1062 | 33% | 2008-12-17 | Lost |
940 | 1062 | 33% | 2008-12-17 | Lost |
940 | 1062 | 33% | 2008-12-12 | Won |
1047 | 1010 | 55% | 2007-07-22 | Won |
1021 | 862 | 71% | 2007-07-07 | Won |
1131 | 1227 | 37% | 2007-01-12 | Lost |
1029 | 1095 | 41% | 2006-07-05 | Won |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2006-05-07 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2005-01-19 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2004-05-16 | Won |
1003 | 1063 | 41% | 2002-01-01 | Lost |
1055 | 1010 | 56% | 2000-01-01 | Won |
1097 | 982 | 66% | 1998-12-06 | Lost |
1031 | 1056 | 46% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
949 | 967 | 47% | 1997-07-16 | Won |
983 | 1227 | 20% | 1995-11-04 | Won |
Attacking (37 wins) average ELOs: 1018.8 vs 1026.7 has a 48.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).