The Roadblock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (17 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (American): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
949 | 949 | 50% | 2020-12-20 | Lost |
1327 | 991 | 87% | 2019-08-30 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
1014 | 1013 | 50% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
926 | 973 | 43% | 2018-04-04 | Lost |
1115 | 989 | 67% | 2016-11-08 | Won |
1045 | 990 | 58% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
1057 | 955 | 64% | 2015-10-01 | Won |
1036 | 1016 | 53% | 2015-01-22 | Lost |
1057 | 955 | 64% | 2014-10-15 | Won |
1109 | 858 | 81% | 2013-09-24 | Won |
952 | 974 | 47% | 2013-04-09 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
1040 | 1055 | 48% | 2012-01-24 | Won |
950 | 1015 | 41% | 2008-05-01 | Lost |
950 | 925 | 54% | 2004-06-16 | Lost |
1045 | 990 | 58% | 1992-02-19 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 988.5 has a 57.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).