Ambush!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 204 (28 on the archive and 176 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Bulgarian): 105
Defender wins (Partisan): 99
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1036 | 1011 | 54% | 2022-08-10 | Won |
1057 | 941 | 66% | 2021-06-21 | Won |
1057 | 941 | 66% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
1036 | 1052 | 48% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2018-06-21 | Won |
1013 | 1018 | 49% | 2017-10-06 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
851 | 986 | 31% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
1055 | 1028 | 54% | 2016-09-18 | Lost |
924 | 983 | 42% | 2015-04-16 | Won |
1058 | 965 | 63% | 2014-11-28 | Won |
944 | 1115 | 27% | 2014-06-18 | Won |
1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
1109 | 858 | 81% | 2013-11-26 | Won |
983 | 978 | 51% | 2013-05-22 | Won |
1055 | 1122 | 40% | 2011-11-10 | Won |
983 | 1008 | 46% | 2010-03-27 | Won |
1115 | 976 | 69% | 2009-10-16 | Lost |
1008 | 989 | 53% | 2009-08-25 | Lost |
961 | 987 | 46% | 2008-07-18 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2006-01-24 | Won |
891 | 925 | 45% | 2005-01-19 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2004-02-27 | Lost |
1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-01-29 | Won |
1030 | 1175 | 30% | 2001-09-25 | Lost |
865 | 1083 | 22% | 1998-03-29 | Won |
945 | 1087 | 31% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 1991-04-17 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1006.1 vs 1015.6 has a 48.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).