Khamsin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 171 (21 on the archive and 150 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 87
Defender wins (British): 83
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1018 | 1167 | 30% | 2023-05-11 | Lost |
1018 | 1013 | 51% | 2021-10-13 | Lost |
876 | 1175 | 15% | 2021-07-18 | Lost |
1157 | 961 | 76% | 2020-12-21 | Won |
1006 | 1049 | 44% | 2020-01-04 | Won |
1135 | 1087 | 57% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2018-09-12 | Lost |
950 | 1207 | 19% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2017-12-15 | Tied |
1032 | 887 | 70% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
1006 | 924 | 62% | 2015-07-12 | Won |
1083 | 1068 | 52% | 2015-05-25 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
1142 | 1135 | 51% | 2013-10-06 | Won |
1090 | 977 | 66% | 2013-09-10 | Won |
1091 | 989 | 64% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
1012 | 963 | 57% | 2010-01-30 | Lost |
1121 | 1307 | 26% | 2008-02-11 | Lost |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2004-12-19 | Won |
1083 | 1053 | 54% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1023.1 vs 1056.1 has a 45.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).