Escape from Derna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (4 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 23
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1045 | 991 | 58% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2018-03-29 | Lost |
1085 | 1037 | 57% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
924 | 1095 | 27% | 2012-08-25 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1020 vs 1029 has a 48.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).