Birds of Prey
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (14 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Belgian): 34
Defender wins (German): 48
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1175 | 987 | 75% | 2020-07-02 | Lost |
1041 | 1013 | 54% | 2019-01-17 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2019-01-08 | Won |
973 | 1032 | 42% | 2018-10-17 | Lost |
861 | 952 | 37% | 2014-01-19 | Lost |
983 | 973 | 51% | 2013-11-08 | Lost |
1175 | 938 | 80% | 2013-10-28 | Won |
1037 | 1085 | 43% | 2013-02-09 | Won |
949 | 972 | 47% | 2010-08-13 | Lost |
1113 | 1018 | 63% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
1043 | 1062 | 47% | 2007-05-25 | Won |
924 | 983 | 42% | 2006-04-07 | Lost |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-12-05 | Lost |
935 | 992 | 42% | 2002-02-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1020.7 vs 1002.1 has a 52.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).