End of the Ninth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (15 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 42
Defender wins (French): 75
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 898 | 62% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
983 | 925 | 58% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
780 | 795 | 48% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
971 | 1109 | 31% | 2020-02-06 | Lost |
1133 | 1095 | 55% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2014-09-20 | Won |
1115 | 1094 | 53% | 2012-06-19 | Lost |
1083 | 1089 | 49% | 2011-04-06 | Won |
1227 | 998 | 79% | 2009-01-14 | Won |
1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-09-11 | Won |
1142 | 1052 | 63% | 2003-09-06 | Won |
614 | 1097 | 6% | 2003-08-02 | Lost |
1087 | 1086 | 50% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1014.4 vs 1026.7 has a 48.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).