Art Nouveau
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (18 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (Belgian): 56
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
849 | 1062 | 23% | 2023-07-30 | Lost |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2023-07-14 | Lost |
994 | 1108 | 34% | 2023-07-01 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2016-04-17 | Lost |
954 | 1037 | 38% | 2015-04-20 | Won |
1080 | 1176 | 37% | 2015-01-03 | Won |
919 | 1204 | 16% | 2008-11-13 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2007-10-26 | Lost |
1095 | 1086 | 51% | 2006-08-26 | Won |
892 | 832 | 59% | 2006-08-10 | Won |
1000 | 1204 | 24% | 2004-05-15 | Won |
1078 | 1055 | 53% | 2000-11-05 | Won |
1015 | 1097 | 38% | 1999-04-30 | Won |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 1999-03-20 | Won |
1001 | 1046 | 44% | 1998-12-09 | Won |
1065 | 1062 | 50% | 1998-12-01 | Won |
1063 | 901 | 72% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1003 vs 1058.1 has a 42.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).