The Penetration of Rostov
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (20 on the archive and 25 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
960 | 941 | 53% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
924 | 1006 | 38% | 2021-07-21 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2021-05-03 | Lost |
1137 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-10-06 | Won |
1017 | 992 | 54% | 2020-09-12 | Won |
924 | 1159 | 21% | 2020-08-21 | Lost |
1107 | 1159 | 43% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
971 | 1032 | 41% | 2019-02-25 | Lost |
1284 | 1146 | 69% | 2018-09-18 | Won |
942 | 1026 | 38% | 2018-01-21 | Won |
1013 | 1058 | 44% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
966 | 1109 | 31% | 2017-06-19 | Lost |
1020 | 1013 | 51% | 2017-05-16 | Lost |
1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2014-12-28 | Lost |
1026 | 1153 | 32% | 2014-12-15 | Won |
955 | 1058 | 36% | 2014-11-19 | Won |
1068 | 936 | 68% | 2012-07-16 | Won |
827 | 977 | 30% | 2011-06-04 | Won |
949 | 972 | 47% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
1083 | 930 | 71% | 1998-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1008.3 vs 1041.6 has a 45.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).