The Red House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (16 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 47
Defender wins (German): 39
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1041 | 1026 | 52% | 2024-02-28 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
991 | 1045 | 42% | 2021-10-09 | Won |
1093 | 780 | 86% | 2020-07-02 | Won |
1191 | 966 | 79% | 2018-05-12 | Won |
1115 | 1041 | 60% | 2018-05-08 | Lost |
1058 | 966 | 63% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2017-06-30 | Lost |
1197 | 984 | 77% | 2015-04-06 | Lost |
1108 | 701 | 91% | 2013-05-25 | Won |
984 | 1040 | 42% | 2013-02-03 | Won |
1116 | 1095 | 53% | 2011-12-08 | Won |
1169 | 925 | 80% | 2006-10-12 | Won |
1013 | 911 | 64% | 2006-10-04 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2006-01-12 | Won |
955 | 1063 | 35% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 966.1 has a 63.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).