Ace in the Hole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (11 on the archive and 125 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 63
Defender wins (German): 73
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1169 | 1197 | 46% | 2023-07-10 | Won |
1013 | 1013 | 50% | 2023-01-03 | Won |
1124 | 1284 | 28% | 2018-06-14 | Won |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2017-03-08 | Lost |
980 | 933 | 57% | 2014-04-01 | Lost |
1142 | 1172 | 46% | 2010-09-23 | Lost |
1227 | 1093 | 68% | 2009-03-26 | Won |
932 | 1093 | 28% | 2009-03-09 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2003-09-19 | Won |
934 | 992 | 42% | 2001-09-06 | Won |
1009 | 1063 | 42% | 2000-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1091 has a 43.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).