Showdown at Tug Argan Pass
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (12 on the archive and 70 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 44
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 37
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (British (Indian)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
780 | 1093 | 14% | 2023-11-13 | Lost |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-03-20 | Lost |
924 | 984 | 41% | 2020-04-13 | Won |
1012 | 969 | 56% | 2019-11-02 | Lost |
1109 | 850 | 82% | 2019-10-13 | Won |
1109 | 1058 | 57% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2017-05-24 | Won |
985 | 977 | 51% | 2016-08-01 | Won |
1025 | 1158 | 32% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
1068 | 1002 | 59% | 2014-07-19 | Lost |
984 | 925 | 58% | 2007-12-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1007.5 vs 1001.7 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).