Swan Song
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (11 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 30
Defender wins (German): 25
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
898 | 898 | 50% | 2024-04-19 | Lost |
1032 | 1175 | 31% | 2020-11-02 | Lost |
924 | 983 | 42% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
958 | 1095 | 31% | 2019-09-10 | Lost |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
1110 | 972 | 69% | 2016-03-15 | Won |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2004-03-13 | Won |
955 | 1083 | 32% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1022 vs 1007 has a 52.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).