Wintergewitter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 328 (29 on the archive and 299 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 186
Defender wins (Russian): 141
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-09-06 | Lost |
1027 | 989 | 55% | 2021-12-14 | Won |
989 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-04-21 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-09-24 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-06-21 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-05-17 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
954 | 1000 | 43% | 2016-12-18 | Won |
968 | 968 | 50% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
995 | 1000 | 49% | 2014-08-18 | Won |
1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2013-10-11 | Won |
1000 | 985 | 52% | 2013-08-27 | Won |
1000 | 989 | 52% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
1000 | 838 | 72% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2010-12-28 | Won |
1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2009-12-05 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2009-10-04 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2006-06-16 | Won |
965 | 969 | 49% | 2006-02-26 | Lost |
1039 | 1065 | 46% | 2005-08-14 | Won |
1068 | 927 | 69% | 2004-12-14 | Won |
987 | 927 | 59% | 2004-12-14 | Won |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2004-02-09 | Won |
1232 | 1250 | 47% | 2003-11-11 | Won |
912 | 927 | 48% | 2001-12-29 | Won |
1029 | 1133 | 35% | 1996-07-28 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1013.4 vs 998.9 has a 52.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).