Italian Brothers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 195 (21 on the archive and 174 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 115
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 79
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian Republican): 0
Defender wins (Italian Nationalist): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-07-21 | Lost |
1002 | 1011 | 49% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
924 | 984 | 41% | 2020-06-15 | Won |
815 | 780 | 55% | 2020-04-30 | Won |
849 | 881 | 45% | 2019-04-19 | Won |
1003 | 1118 | 34% | 2018-10-28 | Lost |
1284 | 1135 | 70% | 2018-10-05 | Lost |
1017 | 917 | 64% | 2018-02-11 | Won |
984 | 973 | 52% | 2014-09-28 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2012-07-30 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2011-11-15 | Won |
879 | 1012 | 32% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
1088 | 1157 | 40% | 2009-08-27 | Won |
1016 | 997 | 53% | 2008-10-30 | Lost |
1149 | 879 | 83% | 2008-09-13 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2008-07-14 | Won |
1105 | 979 | 67% | 2007-02-04 | Won |
928 | 1030 | 36% | 2006-04-01 | Lost |
1097 | 1037 | 59% | 1998-04-09 | Lost |
1175 | 1142 | 55% | 1995-08-17 | Lost |
1063 | 955 | 65% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1026.4 vs 1005.2 has a 53.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).