Mike Red
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (12 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 15
Defender wins (German): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2023-03-23 | Won |
1042 | 1157 | 34% | 2022-06-29 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2021-03-28 | Lost |
1087 | 971 | 66% | 2020-01-20 | Won |
971 | 1087 | 34% | 2019-12-30 | Lost |
856 | 1204 | 12% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
1138 | 989 | 70% | 2015-07-28 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2011-08-14 | Lost |
1133 | 1052 | 61% | 2007-08-04 | Lost |
1151 | 970 | 74% | 2006-06-07 | Won |
991 | 1063 | 40% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1041.1 vs 1054.3 has a 48.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).