The Grand Canal
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (9 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 40
Defender wins (Chinese): 11
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Japanese): 2
Defender wins (Chinese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-10-26 | Won |
924 | 1204 | 17% | 2022-08-07 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2016-07-24 | Won |
1292 | 1083 | 77% | 2015-07-04 | Won |
963 | 1149 | 26% | 2010-12-28 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2003-08-28 | Won |
1037 | 1097 | 41% | 1998-04-01 | Won |
955 | 1063 | 35% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1052 vs 1102.9 has a 42.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).