Last Defense Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (10 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (French): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
931 | 958 | 46% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
931 | 915 | 52% | 2022-09-24 | Won |
1026 | 993 | 55% | 2022-08-14 | Won |
1110 | 1079 | 54% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
967 | 1046 | 39% | 2017-04-20 | Lost |
984 | 1021 | 45% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
939 | 1225 | 16% | 2014-10-12 | Lost |
980 | 1097 | 34% | 2014-03-27 | Lost |
954 | 1055 | 36% | 2003-10-19 | Won |
1039 | 1142 | 36% | 1999-02-06 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 986.1 vs 1053.1 has a 40.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).