The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 172 (21 on the archive and 151 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 59
Defender wins (German (SS)): 112
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
946 | 938 | 51% | 2023-03-05 | Lost |
937 | 1153 | 22% | 2022-03-11 | Lost |
1153 | 937 | 78% | 2022-02-25 | Lost |
1023 | 1012 | 52% | 2021-05-01 | Won |
1032 | 971 | 59% | 2021-02-13 | Lost |
961 | 1168 | 23% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
924 | 950 | 46% | 2021-01-25 | Lost |
1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
997 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
887 | 991 | 35% | 2019-05-15 | Won |
868 | 847 | 53% | 2017-06-19 | Won |
1153 | 873 | 83% | 2016-12-30 | Won |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2016-01-24 | Lost |
985 | 992 | 49% | 2015-10-28 | Lost |
994 | 1062 | 40% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
1083 | 933 | 70% | 2003-10-01 | Lost |
980 | 1142 | 28% | 1999-01-06 | Lost |
955 | 1083 | 32% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-03-18 | Won |
1097 | 890 | 77% | 1998-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1009.4 vs 1009.9 has a 49.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).