Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 81 (9 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 47
Defender wins (American): 34
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
992 | 1148 | 29% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
1158 | 933 | 79% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
1010 | 911 | 64% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
1030 | 1285 | 19% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
1056 | 1087 | 46% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
1133 | 1172 | 44% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
1172 | 1133 | 56% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1076.4 vs 1099.9 has a 46.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).