The Waterhole
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (7 on the archive and 73 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 48
Defender wins (American): 32
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2024-01-28 | Lost |
898 | 986 | 38% | 2023-10-13 | Won |
1144 | 984 | 72% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2006-12-02 | Lost |
958 | 1142 | 26% | 2002-01-28 | Won |
1142 | 1148 | 49% | 2002-01-17 | Lost |
1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2000-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1027.4 vs 1053 has a 46.33% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).