Escape to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 105 (18 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 58
Defender wins (German): 46
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 954 | 50% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-11-17 | Won |
1035 | 977 | 58% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
1171 | 799 | 89% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
1097 | 1284 | 25% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2015-11-08 | Lost |
989 | 1045 | 42% | 2010-12-21 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
1063 | 1075 | 48% | 2008-01-01 | Lost |
984 | 1012 | 46% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
987 | 1034 | 43% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2005-02-04 | Won |
890 | 987 | 36% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
1273 | 1142 | 68% | 2004-03-21 | Won |
1135 | 1227 | 37% | 2004-02-21 | Won |
1227 | 1135 | 63% | 2004-02-10 | Won |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2004-01-28 | Lost |
1142 | 1148 | 49% | 2004-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1057.6 vs 1046.8 has a 51.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).