Surrender Or Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 128 (19 on the archive and 109 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 72
Defender wins (American): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
1009 | 983 | 54% | 2020-03-30 | Won |
906 | 949 | 44% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2017-04-22 | Lost |
1144 | 1006 | 69% | 2014-11-30 | Lost |
988 | 991 | 50% | 2014-03-15 | Lost |
954 | 1151 | 24% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
1006 | 1041 | 45% | 2013-12-23 | Won |
1087 | 1117 | 46% | 2012-01-28 | Won |
1010 | 1083 | 40% | 2010-01-15 | Lost |
972 | 1003 | 46% | 2009-01-16 | Won |
1003 | 957 | 57% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2008-08-09 | Won |
1037 | 1204 | 28% | 2007-01-27 | Tied |
1060 | 1046 | 52% | 2006-01-01 | Lost |
987 | 1006 | 47% | 2005-12-23 | Lost |
1307 | 1102 | 76% | 2005-04-03 | Won |
984 | 1091 | 35% | 2005-02-26 | Won |
1013 | 992 | 53% | 2005-02-24 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1041.7 vs 1052.4 has a 48.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).