The Guards Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 559 (19 on the archive and 540 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 273
Defender wins (German): 286
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
879 | 1010 | 32% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
1055 | 1021 | 55% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
885 | 890 | 49% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
1115 | 944 | 73% | 2014-03-05 | Lost |
1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-25 | Lost |
1047 | 1038 | 51% | 2013-03-11 | Lost |
1009 | 1010 | 50% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
1135 | 1138 | 50% | 2011-12-15 | Won |
1010 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
1063 | 1024 | 56% | 2010-03-11 | Lost |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2009-08-12 | Lost |
1045 | 1126 | 39% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
1056 | 1005 | 57% | 2009-01-20 | Won |
1086 | 1095 | 49% | 2004-09-01 | Won |
980 | 1142 | 28% | 2003-05-20 | Lost |
1056 | 1189 | 32% | 1999-02-15 | Lost |
1183 | 985 | 76% | 1992-06-14 | Lost |
1087 | 945 | 69% | 1990-09-01 | Won |
991 | 1063 | 40% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1034.7 vs 1039.5 has a 49.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).