The St. Goar Assault
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (3 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
997 | 1002 | 49% | 2022-02-27 | Lost |
1024 | 1204 | 26% | 2021-12-21 | Won |
1037 | 1115 | 39% | 2005-06-25 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1019.3 vs 1107 has a 37.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).