Auld Lang Syne
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 82 (16 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (American): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
970 | 984 | 48% | 2024-01-01 | Lost |
931 | 933 | 50% | 2022-05-28 | Won |
931 | 933 | 50% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
910 | 953 | 44% | 2020-08-04 | Won |
953 | 1109 | 29% | 2019-06-13 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2015-07-15 | Won |
959 | 1003 | 44% | 2015-03-21 | Lost |
1115 | 1005 | 65% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
983 | 983 | 50% | 2014-02-12 | Lost |
1225 | 1097 | 68% | 2012-10-03 | Won |
1012 | 963 | 57% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
1012 | 963 | 57% | 2012-09-15 | Won |
965 | 1037 | 40% | 2010-10-02 | Won |
1062 | 1048 | 52% | 2010-01-26 | Won |
1120 | 1055 | 59% | 2004-11-29 | Lost |
984 | 1063 | 39% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1007.8 vs 1009.7 has a 49.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).