The Dead of Winter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 198 (9 on the archive and 189 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 90
Defender wins (German): 108
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-23 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
1000 | 1037 | 45% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-11-02 | Lost |
1019 | 1004 | 52% | 2004-09-29 | Won |
1232 | 981 | 81% | 1997-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1027.9 vs 1002.4 has a 53.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).