Clearing Colleville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 285 (111 on the archive and 174 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 136
Defender wins (German): 148
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|---|---|---|---|
1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2023-11-20 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-11-11 | Won |
1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2023-11-05 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-09-03 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-22 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-16 | Won |
1000 | 960 | 56% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-06 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-04-18 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-02-18 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-12-15 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-10-08 | Lost |
960 | 1000 | 44% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
1000 | 960 | 56% | 2022-06-30 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
960 | 1000 | 44% | 2022-05-02 | Lost |
851 | 1000 | 30% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
961 | 990 | 46% | 2022-04-10 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-12-26 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-12-22 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-12-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-10-10 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-04-04 | Lost |
1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2021-03-21 | Won |
971 | 1000 | 46% | 2021-03-11 | Won |
999 | 999 | 50% | 2021-02-07 | Lost |
987 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-02-03 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-01-24 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-12-05 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-12-03 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-11-17 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-10-15 | Won |
1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-09-19 | Lost |
1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2020-09-10 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-08-14 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-06-25 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-06-25 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-06-12 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-06-03 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-12-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-09-21 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-07-09 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-07-09 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-07-09 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-06-18 | Lost |
1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2019-01-02 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-09-02 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-08-22 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-11-12 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-09-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-06-06 | Won |
985 | 1000 | 48% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-03-18 | Won |
1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2016-12-17 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-08-03 | Lost |
1000 | 708 | 84% | 2016-07-25 | Tied |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-04-10 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-04-01 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-10-24 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-10-24 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-08-14 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-06-20 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-06-01 | Won |
928 | 928 | 50% | 2015-03-11 | Lost |
928 | 928 | 50% | 2015-03-11 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-06-06 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-06-02 | Won |
1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2014-05-25 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-05-02 | Won |
973 | 1000 | 46% | 2014-05-02 | Won |
937 | 1000 | 41% | 2014-03-09 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-02-28 | Lost |
996 | 1000 | 49% | 2014-02-22 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-01-16 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-12-10 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-05-04 | Won |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-04-01 | Lost |
1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-09-02 | Won |
1017 | 926 | 63% | 2012-07-24 | Lost |
1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2011-09-07 | Won |
1023 | 1001 | 53% | 2011-08-13 | Lost |
1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2010-04-21 | Lost |
1061 | 988 | 60% | 2010-03-07 | Won |
982 | 1012 | 46% | 2010-01-16 | Lost |
936 | 936 | 50% | 2009-12-05 | Lost |
1135 | 1120 | 52% | 2009-09-29 | Lost |
1049 | 964 | 62% | 2009-08-15 | Won |
945 | 946 | 50% | 2009-05-11 | Lost |
997 | 1014 | 48% | 2009-04-30 | Lost |
1074 | 1055 | 53% | 2009-03-12 | Lost |
895 | 954 | 42% | 2008-05-14 | Won |
1019 | 1017 | 50% | 2008-05-08 | Lost |
958 | 1019 | 41% | 2008-03-06 | Lost |
1088 | 1049 | 56% | 2008-02-11 | Won |
993 | 954 | 56% | 2008-01-15 | Won |
946 | 1006 | 41% | 2007-05-01 | Lost |
1006 | 984 | 53% | 2007-02-24 | Won |
954 | 1047 | 37% | 2007-01-28 | Lost |
1030 | 1086 | 42% | 2006-04-16 | Lost |
1072 | 978 | 63% | 2005-11-14 | Lost |
1091 | 1186 | 37% | 2005-01-06 | Won |
1010 | 978 | 55% | 2004-11-01 | Won |
Attacking (47 wins) average ELOs: 999.6 vs 998.7 has a 50.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).