Paper Army
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 149 (71 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 104
Defender wins (Italian): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Greek): 1
Defender wins (Italian): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1004 | 1204 | 24% | 2024-02-13 | Won |
984 | 984 | 50% | 2024-01-18 | Won |
1036 | 1045 | 49% | 2023-11-04 | Won |
1213 | 1187 | 54% | 2023-07-31 | Won |
1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
1067 | 1204 | 31% | 2023-02-16 | Won |
1204 | 1067 | 69% | 2023-02-13 | Lost |
1204 | 1014 | 75% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
1204 | 1014 | 75% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
1018 | 1018 | 50% | 2022-11-30 | Won |
1056 | 1032 | 53% | 2022-07-01 | Won |
1204 | 924 | 83% | 2022-06-08 | Won |
925 | 1204 | 17% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
1078 | 917 | 72% | 2022-03-04 | Lost |
1063 | 1085 | 47% | 2022-02-06 | Won |
1143 | 1115 | 54% | 2021-08-24 | Won |
1002 | 1025 | 47% | 2021-02-07 | Won |
1036 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-02-06 | Tied |
1085 | 1063 | 53% | 2021-01-24 | Won |
964 | 1141 | 27% | 2020-12-15 | Won |
1015 | 997 | 53% | 2020-08-25 | Won |
898 | 917 | 47% | 2020-07-05 | Lost |
1159 | 1045 | 66% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-01-11 | Lost |
892 | 920 | 46% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
1113 | 1204 | 37% | 2019-12-13 | Won |
1429 | 1217 | 77% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
980 | 1038 | 42% | 2019-07-06 | Won |
1040 | 1013 | 54% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2017-10-14 | Won |
1101 | 1108 | 49% | 2017-05-25 | Tied |
1183 | 1128 | 58% | 2017-05-20 | Won |
926 | 892 | 55% | 2017-03-29 | Won |
1109 | 893 | 78% | 2017-01-21 | Won |
1013 | 960 | 58% | 2016-09-10 | Won |
1204 | 881 | 87% | 2016-07-27 | Tied |
1111 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-08-16 | Won |
1113 | 1127 | 48% | 2015-07-21 | Won |
1163 | 1227 | 41% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
1204 | 1002 | 76% | 2014-04-04 | Won |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2013-01-06 | Lost |
970 | 1031 | 41% | 2012-10-20 | Lost |
1204 | 1024 | 74% | 2012-09-29 | Won |
959 | 1010 | 43% | 2012-06-10 | Won |
960 | 952 | 51% | 2011-04-17 | Lost |
1204 | 1012 | 75% | 2011-04-17 | Lost |
951 | 952 | 50% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
1040 | 1216 | 27% | 2010-07-05 | Won |
990 | 1027 | 45% | 2010-06-30 | Won |
1016 | 1031 | 48% | 2010-06-15 | Lost |
1022 | 1216 | 25% | 2010-01-24 | Won |
1227 | 1135 | 63% | 2009-10-22 | Lost |
1204 | 920 | 84% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
1204 | 920 | 84% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
1204 | 920 | 84% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
1204 | 920 | 84% | 2009-07-25 | Won |
1204 | 920 | 84% | 2009-05-13 | Won |
1204 | 920 | 84% | 2009-05-13 | Won |
946 | 952 | 49% | 2009-04-25 | Won |
979 | 969 | 51% | 2009-01-17 | Won |
953 | 1115 | 28% | 2008-10-16 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-12 | Won |
946 | 1003 | 42% | 2007-02-17 | Won |
1115 | 984 | 68% | 2006-07-16 | Won |
832 | 943 | 35% | 2006-01-24 | Won |
1086 | 1095 | 49% | 2005-11-27 | Won |
Attacking (51 wins) average ELOs: 1071.5 vs 1034.5 has a 55.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).