Caught Napping
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (5 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 12
Defender wins (German): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1204 | 856 | 88% | 2017-08-26 | Won |
1086 | 1360 | 17% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
1092 | 1227 | 31% | 2014-01-06 | Won |
1090 | 1114 | 47% | 2012-02-02 | Won |
1089 | 1176 | 38% | 2010-11-13 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1112.2 vs 1146.6 has a 45.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).