Moldavian Massacre
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (11 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian): 36
Defender wins (Russian): 36
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
949 | 1197 | 19% | 2016-11-07 | Lost |
1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
1046 | 1062 | 48% | 2008-05-16 | Lost |
902 | 1014 | 34% | 2007-10-16 | Lost |
974 | 974 | 50% | 2007-04-03 | Won |
1307 | 1146 | 72% | 2007-03-09 | Won |
925 | 1101 | 27% | 2006-06-03 | Lost |
984 | 1046 | 41% | 2005-10-13 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2005-04-12 | Won |
1340 | 1327 | 52% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1098.9 has a 43.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).