Closing the Back Door
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (3 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
954 | 1000 | 43% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
1000 | 820 | 74% | 2007-03-17 | Lost |
999 | 1000 | 50% | 2004-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 984.3 vs 940 has a 56.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).