Udarnik Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 161 (23 on the archive and 138 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Spanish Blue): 82
Defender wins (Russian): 79
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1114 | 955 | 71% | 2023-08-20 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-07-27 | Lost |
1065 | 1131 | 41% | 2023-04-26 | Lost |
949 | 1327 | 10% | 2022-09-17 | Won |
1127 | 955 | 73% | 2021-12-06 | Won |
1160 | 804 | 89% | 2020-12-18 | Lost |
1108 | 842 | 82% | 2020-08-09 | Won |
1157 | 1037 | 67% | 2018-12-01 | Lost |
1160 | 1010 | 70% | 2016-11-11 | Won |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2016-11-02 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
986 | 851 | 69% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2015-05-24 | Lost |
919 | 1204 | 16% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
1135 | 1135 | 50% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
1029 | 1093 | 41% | 2010-02-06 | Lost |
1115 | 953 | 72% | 2009-11-19 | Lost |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2007-09-27 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2004-07-24 | Lost |
831 | 974 | 31% | 2001-01-27 | Lost |
890 | 1097 | 23% | 1998-10-03 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 1998-05-07 | Lost |
1063 | 923 | 69% | 1996-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1056.4 vs 1023 has a 54.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).