An Arm and a Leg
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 146 (25 on the archive and 121 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 70
Defender wins (German): 76
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2023-07-20 | Lost |
898 | 986 | 38% | 2022-07-29 | Lost |
987 | 1027 | 44% | 2022-07-21 | Won |
986 | 898 | 62% | 2022-07-16 | Won |
898 | 986 | 38% | 2022-07-11 | Lost |
925 | 983 | 42% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
955 | 1127 | 27% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
1080 | 920 | 72% | 2020-06-17 | Lost |
916 | 983 | 40% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-05-26 | Won |
1107 | 1083 | 53% | 2020-02-28 | Won |
1175 | 1113 | 59% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2016-02-28 | Lost |
938 | 1175 | 20% | 2015-03-29 | Lost |
938 | 1175 | 20% | 2015-03-23 | Lost |
1010 | 992 | 53% | 2014-08-23 | Won |
1003 | 897 | 65% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
1029 | 1093 | 41% | 2011-05-13 | Won |
880 | 1197 | 14% | 2010-03-12 | Won |
972 | 1062 | 37% | 2009-03-14 | Lost |
1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2007-09-08 | Lost |
988 | 1062 | 40% | 2007-03-26 | Lost |
1095 | 1004 | 63% | 2005-03-30 | Won |
1142 | 1120 | 53% | 2004-10-24 | Lost |
972 | 1083 | 35% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 998.8 vs 1049.5 has a 42.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).