The Chernichivo Shuffle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (13 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 43
Defender wins (German (SS)): 37
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1087 | 1025 | 59% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
1013 | 1044 | 46% | 2023-08-12 | Won |
961 | 938 | 53% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
1360 | 974 | 90% | 2021-12-19 | Won |
992 | 1026 | 45% | 2021-10-09 | Lost |
1008 | 992 | 52% | 2020-11-29 | Lost |
1026 | 1160 | 32% | 2018-06-18 | Won |
1028 | 1307 | 17% | 2017-09-07 | Won |
1138 | 989 | 70% | 2016-10-05 | Lost |
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2009-01-12 | Won |
1018 | 925 | 63% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
925 | 1011 | 38% | 2007-05-27 | Lost |
1273 | 1142 | 68% | 2005-08-09 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1050.8 has a 52.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).