Baking Bread
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 136 (57 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 73
Defender wins (Russian): 60
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1036 | 1036 | 50% | 2024-02-24 | Lost |
984 | 984 | 50% | 2024-02-03 | Lost |
1187 | 1213 | 46% | 2023-12-01 | Lost |
1056 | 1058 | 50% | 2023-03-20 | Won |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2022-05-10 | Won |
1041 | 966 | 61% | 2021-10-29 | Won |
1058 | 922 | 69% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
1033 | 917 | 66% | 2021-07-13 | Won |
1036 | 1030 | 51% | 2021-02-07 | Tied |
964 | 998 | 45% | 2021-01-27 | Won |
1164 | 917 | 81% | 2020-12-27 | Won |
1061 | 917 | 70% | 2020-11-30 | Lost |
1058 | 1078 | 47% | 2020-08-27 | Won |
1041 | 1053 | 48% | 2020-06-30 | Won |
1042 | 1041 | 50% | 2020-03-31 | Won |
959 | 1012 | 42% | 2019-12-29 | Lost |
1159 | 1111 | 57% | 2019-12-11 | Won |
1152 | 984 | 72% | 2019-12-03 | Won |
1261 | 1058 | 76% | 2019-10-20 | Won |
989 | 984 | 51% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
1012 | 934 | 61% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
911 | 1012 | 36% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
933 | 1012 | 39% | 2017-10-19 | Tied |
1109 | 953 | 71% | 2017-09-22 | Won |
926 | 892 | 55% | 2017-07-23 | Won |
984 | 881 | 64% | 2016-09-04 | Tied |
1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
847 | 929 | 38% | 2015-07-04 | Lost |
1024 | 1042 | 47% | 2015-03-22 | Won |
939 | 954 | 48% | 2014-10-24 | Won |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-07-05 | Lost |
1207 | 1207 | 50% | 2014-04-26 | Lost |
981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-03-27 | Won |
984 | 1041 | 42% | 2013-12-21 | Lost |
960 | 952 | 51% | 2012-09-27 | Lost |
1068 | 1216 | 30% | 2012-06-23 | Lost |
1042 | 984 | 58% | 2012-03-01 | Won |
1047 | 1056 | 49% | 2011-11-20 | Won |
1037 | 1141 | 35% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
930 | 941 | 48% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
1045 | 990 | 58% | 2010-11-17 | Won |
915 | 1047 | 32% | 2009-11-18 | Lost |
915 | 1047 | 32% | 2009-11-18 | Lost |
960 | 1216 | 19% | 2009-04-29 | Won |
1073 | 985 | 62% | 2009-02-11 | Lost |
984 | 992 | 49% | 2009-01-17 | Lost |
941 | 1042 | 36% | 2009-01-03 | Lost |
976 | 1115 | 31% | 2008-10-26 | Won |
1006 | 1012 | 49% | 2008-07-06 | Lost |
1062 | 890 | 73% | 2007-10-25 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-03-04 | Won |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2007-02-19 | Won |
1003 | 934 | 60% | 2007-02-03 | Lost |
832 | 832 | 50% | 2007-01-21 | Won |
984 | 1115 | 32% | 2006-08-15 | Lost |
Attacking (31 wins) average ELOs: 1021.2 vs 1017 has a 50.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).