Road Kill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 86 (17 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 44
Defender wins (German): 41
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
958 | 1095 | 31% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
1087 | 1020 | 60% | 2022-07-15 | Lost |
984 | 1144 | 28% | 2021-11-20 | Lost |
1176 | 1168 | 51% | 2021-11-20 | Tied |
1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2020-05-11 | Won |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2018-05-11 | Lost |
1045 | 892 | 71% | 2018-03-16 | Won |
961 | 1197 | 20% | 2018-03-16 | Lost |
992 | 961 | 54% | 2017-02-28 | Won |
1307 | 1028 | 83% | 2017-01-31 | Won |
958 | 1050 | 37% | 2014-10-10 | Lost |
1058 | 1327 | 18% | 2014-07-27 | Lost |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
902 | 901 | 50% | 2009-10-14 | Won |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2009-04-28 | Won |
984 | 1011 | 46% | 2009-01-01 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2008-11-30 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1024.1 vs 1052.8 has a 45.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).