Transylvania 6-5000
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 124 (21 on the archive and 103 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Hungarian): 65
Defender wins (Russian): 59
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
982 | 1164 | 26% | 2023-12-09 | Won |
1000 | 1026 | 46% | 2021-07-10 | Won |
1058 | 891 | 72% | 2020-11-14 | Lost |
1204 | 1144 | 59% | 2019-10-08 | Won |
961 | 1025 | 41% | 2019-08-10 | Lost |
1009 | 1109 | 36% | 2019-04-30 | Lost |
1109 | 1009 | 64% | 2019-04-22 | Won |
1010 | 1027 | 48% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
1036 | 958 | 61% | 2015-06-25 | Lost |
959 | 1003 | 44% | 2015-04-25 | Lost |
1225 | 1001 | 78% | 2014-11-07 | Won |
988 | 991 | 50% | 2012-10-27 | Won |
1153 | 989 | 72% | 2011-01-27 | Won |
1032 | 1360 | 13% | 2010-07-15 | Lost |
1003 | 981 | 53% | 2009-11-07 | Lost |
1307 | 931 | 90% | 2007-05-12 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2007-04-10 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2007-04-03 | Lost |
1073 | 1010 | 59% | 2007-03-28 | Won |
994 | 1002 | 49% | 2007-02-01 | Won |
958 | 1030 | 40% | 2006-11-29 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1059.8 vs 1040.2 has a 52.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).