Winter of Their Discontent
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (20 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 39
Defender wins (Italian / German): 55
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
994 | 1108 | 34% | 2024-02-18 | Won |
919 | 919 | 50% | 2022-08-23 | Lost |
1307 | 1086 | 78% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
929 | 920 | 51% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
958 | 1041 | 38% | 2021-06-25 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2020-11-04 | Lost |
1032 | 1093 | 41% | 2020-05-22 | Lost |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2018-04-09 | Lost |
1307 | 1012 | 85% | 2016-09-24 | Won |
1109 | 980 | 68% | 2015-08-28 | Lost |
1013 | 1327 | 14% | 2015-07-25 | Lost |
1095 | 1116 | 47% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
1045 | 990 | 58% | 2013-01-09 | Lost |
1106 | 1360 | 19% | 2009-08-12 | Won |
1227 | 1131 | 63% | 2008-10-15 | Won |
1010 | 902 | 65% | 2008-04-04 | Won |
1109 | 1197 | 38% | 2008-03-14 | Won |
994 | 1228 | 21% | 2008-03-07 | Lost |
922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-10-30 | Lost |
1037 | 1085 | 43% | 2005-12-31 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1050.3 vs 1068.4 has a 47.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).