Agony at Arnautovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (18 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Partisan): 74
Defender wins (Italian): 52
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
983 | 983 | 50% | 2022-03-19 | Won |
1183 | 1168 | 52% | 2021-04-16 | Won |
992 | 1050 | 42% | 2020-10-10 | Won |
984 | 954 | 54% | 2020-01-25 | Won |
1095 | 1115 | 47% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
925 | 1001 | 39% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
1077 | 1008 | 60% | 2011-06-12 | Won |
1091 | 984 | 65% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
1019 | 1093 | 40% | 2011-02-26 | Won |
1108 | 1017 | 63% | 2010-12-21 | Won |
989 | 1057 | 40% | 2010-05-01 | Lost |
949 | 1001 | 43% | 2009-12-18 | Lost |
1174 | 1307 | 32% | 2009-09-12 | Lost |
987 | 1035 | 43% | 2008-11-08 | Lost |
1007 | 1087 | 39% | 2008-07-10 | Lost |
992 | 998 | 49% | 2007-11-30 | Lost |
891 | 925 | 45% | 2007-10-09 | Won |
1083 | 1183 | 36% | 2007-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1029.4 vs 1053.7 has a 46.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).