On the Road to Hell
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 128 (20 on the archive and 108 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American/British): 59
Defender wins (German): 68
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1075 | 1062 | 52% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
1307 | 1061 | 80% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
1176 | 949 | 79% | 2018-02-19 | Tied |
1087 | 1081 | 51% | 2016-12-21 | Won |
1087 | 1035 | 57% | 2016-12-02 | Lost |
1087 | 1000 | 62% | 2016-10-01 | Lost |
994 | 1266 | 17% | 2014-06-27 | Won |
1037 | 1131 | 37% | 2014-05-14 | Lost |
880 | 1095 | 22% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
986 | 1081 | 37% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
1042 | 879 | 72% | 2011-06-26 | Won |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Lost |
1089 | 1063 | 54% | 2010-05-10 | Lost |
944 | 1087 | 31% | 2009-03-21 | Won |
1127 | 1062 | 59% | 2009-02-06 | Lost |
804 | 997 | 25% | 2008-12-13 | Won |
925 | 1007 | 38% | 2008-02-27 | Won |
922 | 922 | 50% | 2007-12-20 | Lost |
1030 | 1289 | 18% | 2007-12-11 | Won |
1261 | 925 | 87% | 2007-10-27 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1054.5 has a 49.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).