Butchers and Bakers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (32 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-02-08 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2023-02-05 | Won |
1131 | 1082 | 57% | 2021-10-20 | Won |
1041 | 1040 | 50% | 2020-10-22 | Lost |
1009 | 984 | 54% | 2020-03-16 | Won |
1009 | 983 | 54% | 2020-03-12 | Lost |
1009 | 983 | 54% | 2020-03-12 | Lost |
1131 | 1009 | 67% | 2020-03-10 | Won |
1014 | 1009 | 51% | 2020-03-10 | Won |
1042 | 984 | 58% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
881 | 962 | 39% | 2018-11-26 | Lost |
1002 | 980 | 53% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
945 | 1029 | 38% | 2017-07-07 | Lost |
952 | 960 | 49% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
960 | 952 | 51% | 2012-10-13 | Lost |
1043 | 1093 | 43% | 2011-12-30 | Won |
1043 | 974 | 60% | 2011-02-05 | Won |
1172 | 1040 | 68% | 2011-01-23 | Won |
1012 | 1003 | 51% | 2010-04-19 | Lost |
1003 | 1012 | 49% | 2010-04-19 | Lost |
976 | 1062 | 38% | 2009-12-30 | Lost |
1040 | 984 | 58% | 2009-10-05 | Won |
1004 | 1012 | 49% | 2009-02-11 | Lost |
1067 | 1063 | 51% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
1019 | 1197 | 26% | 2008-05-25 | Won |
1012 | 1052 | 44% | 2008-01-27 | Lost |
1052 | 1012 | 56% | 2008-01-17 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
975 | 1003 | 46% | 2007-12-29 | Lost |
1003 | 975 | 54% | 2007-12-29 | Lost |
1027 | 1037 | 49% | 2007-11-07 | Won |
925 | 984 | 42% | 2007-10-15 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1024.1 vs 1022.8 has a 50.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).