Ride Across the Caucasus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Slovakian): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-06-20 | Won |
1076 | 1034 | 56% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
1020 | 1176 | 29% | 2014-02-16 | Lost |
925 | 1095 | 27% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
838 | 1095 | 19% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
991 | 1026 | 45% | 2008-11-07 | Lost |
1063 | 1069 | 49% | 2007-10-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 992.9 vs 1076 has a 38.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).