Freeing the Roadway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (7 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 15
Defender wins (German): 20
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
980 | 997 | 48% | 2022-07-12 | Lost |
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2019-02-05 | Won |
984 | 1047 | 41% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
1005 | 1142 | 31% | 2009-05-18 | Lost |
1063 | 986 | 61% | 2008-11-01 | Won |
991 | 1099 | 35% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
1054 | 1090 | 45% | 2007-11-15 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1029.1 vs 1067.7 has a 44.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).