Pavlov's House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (20 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (Russian): 66
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
955 | 976 | 47% | 2023-10-10 | Lost |
1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2022-02-22 | Lost |
954 | 1067 | 34% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
1013 | 1249 | 20% | 2019-07-17 | Lost |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
890 | 1109 | 22% | 2019-05-10 | Lost |
934 | 1142 | 23% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
1095 | 958 | 69% | 2013-05-11 | Won |
1068 | 1143 | 39% | 2013-01-05 | Lost |
897 | 977 | 39% | 2012-05-25 | Won |
1144 | 1204 | 41% | 2011-08-21 | Lost |
1097 | 869 | 79% | 2011-02-03 | Won |
1131 | 1227 | 37% | 2010-10-01 | Lost |
1087 | 945 | 69% | 2010-05-08 | Lost |
984 | 989 | 49% | 2010-04-25 | Lost |
984 | 989 | 49% | 2010-03-25 | Won |
1108 | 878 | 79% | 2008-10-10 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-06-27 | Lost |
1097 | 1097 | 50% | 2008-06-11 | Won |
1285 | 1030 | 81% | 2008-05-27 | Tied |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035.5 vs 1055.7 has a 47.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).