A Dangerous Possibility
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (11 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 32
Defender wins (German): 22
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1127 | 1113 | 52% | 2018-04-24 | Won |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2016-03-16 | Won |
917 | 989 | 40% | 2015-01-12 | Won |
1068 | 926 | 69% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2011-04-25 | Won |
1087 | 1007 | 61% | 2009-02-07 | Lost |
1010 | 1030 | 47% | 2009-01-13 | Lost |
904 | 925 | 47% | 2008-05-15 | Lost |
1016 | 1090 | 40% | 2008-02-28 | Lost |
985 | 1176 | 25% | 2008-02-02 | Lost |
1178 | 1063 | 66% | 2008-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1015.4 vs 1038.5 has a 46.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).