Hammer and Nail
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1063 | 1026 | 55% | 2021-09-04 | Won |
1011 | 1052 | 44% | 2020-02-20 | Tied |
1019 | 1208 | 25% | 2019-12-16 | Lost |
1008 | 1008 | 50% | 2016-06-29 | Won |
896 | 990 | 37% | 2013-11-15 | Won |
1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2013-06-23 | Lost |
869 | 1097 | 21% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
1030 | 1048 | 47% | 2011-06-26 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2008-05-15 | Lost |
1120 | 1133 | 48% | 2008-05-03 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1007.2 vs 1059.7 has a 42.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).